Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Updated NL West Predictions

NL WEST
1st. Dodgers 100-62: Manny Ramirez was suspended for 50 games and it has not slowed the team at all. They have since swept the Mets, taken 2 of 3 in Philly and also 2 of 3 in Florida. They have beaten everyone they have played, they have throttled the opposition at every turn, their bullpen has been great, their defense has been great, and their starting pitching has held together (multiple quality starts from Eric Milton, Jeff Weaver, and Eric Stults). Nothing can slow this team down. Juan Pierre has hit .400 for about a month now.
2nd. Arizona 80-82: Brandon Webb will come back soon, but it is far too late. This team does not work counts, does not hold leads, and is in general dissarray. The bullpen has blown huge leads over and over again and shows no signs of getting better. My guess is the fire sale starts soon, which could push them down to about 75 wins. Letting their young players develop is the best thing that can happen at this point.
3rd: San Francisco 79-83. This team just cannot hit, especially on the road. They have two of the top 10 pitchers in the NL (Cain and Lincecum), a rejuvenated and solid Barry Zito, a very good home record, but they score less than 4 runs a game which allows almost no room for mistakes. The Giants may have the worst infield in the league, playing the immoble Edgard Renteria (SS) and Juan Uribe (3b) on the left side of their infield. They may make a trade and get over 81 wins, but they are wasting their time because they cannot compete with Milwaukee, Atlanta, Philly, St Louis, Atlanta, or the Mets for the Wild Card.
4th: Colorado 70-92. I knew they would be bad but I did not know they would be this bad. They have already fired Clint Hurdle and replaced him with the worst manager in the game (Jim Tracy). Garrett Atkins (3b/1b) and Troy Tulowitzki (ss) have taken giants steps backwards as far as hitting, and their bullpen has imploded. Their pitching has not been as bad as usual, but the team is atrocious in one-run games, which leads me to think improvement is possibly. Todd Helton has had a great bounceback season and rookie CF Dexter Fowler looks like a special player. Other than that, there is no good news. Pretty much the same Rockies team we see every year (save for July-October 2007).
5th San Diego 67-95: I am amazed this team has won as much as they have. They are about .500 right now, even though they have basically tried to give away the entire team already. Jake Peavy is as good as gone, Tony Gwynn Jr is starting in center (along with 2-3 other everyday players who should not be in the league, namely Kevin Kouzmanoff and whoever plays short or second on any given day). The lone bright spots have been the incredible season and power of Adrian Gonzalez (why anyone pitches to him is beyond me), the solid play of Scott Hairson in left and center, and the fantastic shutdown closer Heath Bell, who has MORE than filled in for Trevor Hoffman and has only one blown save. The team has no choice but to play the hand they are dealt but their minors must be empty if they continue to start Kouzmanoff and Eckstein everyday.

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